Obama has introduced three strategic changes in what must be, a more comprehensive revision of the existing US Global Tactical Military and Intelligence Strategy. Firstly, US military presences abroad are being renegotiated, on-going bases and military deployments changing character and… Read More ›
Archive for January 2012
Addendum: Profiling the Make-Up of the Incoming Egyptian Government
Further to my previous post, the Muslimbrotherhood got 47% of the national vote, enough but not good enough to form a constituent government. The right-wing extremist Salafis got a critical 23-25% of the vote, reflecting the growing conservative strain in… Read More ›
Economic Realities Force the Muslim Brotherhood to Toe Pro-US-Israel Line
I have been visiting Egypt for about 20 years. The penultimate time I was there was for pleasure in December 2010, a few weeks before the Arab Spring hit the land of the Spinx. Now, almost exactly a year after… Read More ›
Dividing up the Congo: the Kabila-Kagame Pact
It is the case of the mouse that scared the elephant. Rwanda, specifically Kagame scares the hell out of Congo,specifically Kabila. On the handful of occasions that the two have met, the public part of the meetings are carefully stage-managed… Read More ›
Arab Policy Cohesion to Combat the Specter of a Nuclear Iran: China
After decades of indecision and prevarication, the Gulf Arabs and Saudi Arabia seem to suddenly have achieved policy cohesion in the face of a Nuclear Iran. The first evidence of this was the welcome reception, oil and trade deals that… Read More ›
Conflict Returns to South Kivu: Shabunda Battlefield for Conflict Minerals
Over the last weeks, the territory of Shabunda perched strategically between North and South Kivu is once again the flashpoint of conflict. The fight is over control of still lucrative gold and mineral mines that used to be dominated by… Read More ›
Memogate tempts the Pakistan Military to Coup Against the Incumbent Civilian Government
The plight of Pakistan has been 50 years of lack of leadership. After the sudden and untimely demise of their founding leader, Mohammed Ali Jinnah, Pakistan has been trapped in a vertigo of lack of real leadership and the growing… Read More ›
Putin’s Presidency heralds “Mother Russia” Ideologically-Led Foreign Policy
The political and media discourse surrounding Putin’s bid for Presidency has been wary and careful, highlighting his appeal as a strong Russian nationalist that has prioritized the return of Mother Russia as a powerful and dynamic global leader, one that… Read More ›
South Sudan: Which Enemy to Fight?
Barely six months old as a Republic, South Sudan is struggling to control the violent ethnic fragmentation that threatens to tear apart its hard fought independence from Khartoum. For decades, the unifying cry of the tribes of Southern Sudan had… Read More ›
Iran’s Fordo Nuclear Facility: Saving Lives of Cancer Patients or Ushering in Armageddon?
As someone who has lost loved ones to cancer, I understood the urgency with which the Government of Iran might want to develop treatments for the alleged 800,000+ Iranians suffering from cancer. In a traditional scenario, providing this treatment is… Read More ›
Broadening Middle East Conflict: Collapse of Syrian Alawite Government Triggers Concerns in Golan Heights
Yesterday’s New York Times had an interesting article that substantiates what I wrote in previous posts on the situation in Sinai and Golan Heights as regards regional space between Egypt, Syria and Israel. See It is only a matter of… Read More ›
Part 2 Pakistan and the US: You should get what you give!
As mentioned in part one, US mis-investment in Pakistan had provided the financing for the emergence of religious militancy in Pakistan. Yet there are two other factors that have to be considered, if analysis is to be complete. Nuclear Capacity:… Read More ›
Pakistan and the US: You get what you give?
The US-Pakistan relationship has a long history stretching over decades starting in 1947 when Pakistan gained its independence. The conflict between India and Pakistan over the strategically located Kashmir region, a doorway to the shrouded Central Asia and Western China,… Read More ›